Monday, December 19, 2011

Week 15 - False Prophet?

Week 15 Results

Bob - 10-6 (+2.5)
Joel - 10-6 (+2.5)
Jarrett - 9-7 (+0.33)
Jonathan - 9-7 (+0.33)
Patrick - 9-7 (+0.33)
Jeremy - 7-9
John - 7-9
Roger - 6-10

We're about half-way done the pool now, and John has broken 100 points. I'm not sure he's catchable, even for you guys who think you're close. He's just statistically too consistent. [...] Sorry to burst everyone's bubbles (except for John's).--Joel, week 8

Well, it's now week 15 and Patrick's bubble is alive and well. The Mighty Morand has surprisingly managed to pull within 2.34 points of John. Certainly, the PIT/SF game was the most critical of the week. If the Steelers had won on Monday night, there would be a virtual tie for first. It seems Commander Couch is getting a bit reckless, admitting that he picked Denver to make watching the game with Jonathan more interesting. (Or was that an excuse for a foolish pick?)

But let's not forget this week's winners: Bob and Joel. "Big Herm" is now in third and determined to prevent the Forest Hills Boys from keeping all the medals in Dartmouth/Eastern Passage. "The Prophet" Joel also has visions of third place dancing in his head. Too bad his head has also been full of many bad picks. Question for Joel: If anyone had correctly picked the Colts to win in week 15, would they still have been given worst pick of the week? Word is that Jonathan, "The Minister of Prognostication," is not only aiming for third spot, but also first place in points for (now second behind Patrick). This would allow him to take home the (uncoveted) "Tough Luck" award.

"Golden Boy" Jeremy didn't have a very golden week. But Kuehner clan bragging rights are still in reach as he's only 2.23 points behind Joel. And what can be said about Roger "Ace" Fenton? Not much good can be said when you get beat by both "participants-in-training." "Moody" Jarrett (a.k.a., the human 10-second delay), could still escape the basement with two strong closing weeks.

Merry Christmas, everyone!

--Jonathan

Week 15 has come and gone, and the jockeying continues. The leader board looks roughly as follows, with point differentials relative to the person ahead, and rounded to the nearest 0.5:

1. John
2. Patrick -2.5
3. Bob -10.5
4. Jonathan -3
5. Joel -4.5
6. Jeremy -2.5
7. Roger -7
8. Jarrett -10.5

What does this mean? This means that: John has a chance of being caught. Patrick has a chance of catching someone. Bob has a chance of being caught. Jonathan has a chance of catching someone, and of being caught. Joel has a chance of catching someone, and of being caught. Jeremy has a chance of catching someone, and of being caught. Roger has a chance of catching someone. Jarrett should submit picks more often.

I'll qualify all of that with the fact that really, John is sitting pretty and Patrick has no chance of catching anyone, due to the email I sent out around week 8.

Best pick of the week: Seahawks over Bears.

Worst pick of the week: Jets over Eagles.

Critical game of the week: Steelers @ Niners.

Too bad no one picked the Colts. They would have, for the first time ever, received best pick of the week (because it would have been, unless someone had also picked KC) and worst pick of the week (because I'm a man of my word).

Sorry, Roger, about Oakland. That one had me worried as soon as I saw you'd picked them. I knew Oakland could very well win that, and I thought you had a pretty decent loner.

--Joel

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